AFC Top 3 Matchups- Week 11
The 2010 NFL season is headed for the stretch run and all four divisions in the AFC remain completely up for grabs. New England and New York (Jets) are leading the way in the East and also happen to have the best record in the conference at 7-2. Pittsburgh and Baltimore continue to slug it out atop the North at 6-3 in what has become a two-team race. Indianapolis has a one game lead in the South at 6-3 with both Tennessee and Jacksonville keeping pace at 5-4. The AFC West is the widest open race of them all with Oakland and Kansas City out front at 5-4, with the suddenly resurgent San Diego Chargers a game back at 4-5 and Denver still very much alive at 3-6.
Here is a look at my top three matchups in the AFC for Week 11 of the NFL season. All odds are provided by BetUs.com.
Oakland @ Pittsburgh (-7 ½) Over/Under: 41
Oakland head coach Tom Cable has decided to stick with Jason Campbell as his starting quarterback after he led the Raiders to their first three-game winning streak since 2002. Oakland’s offense is ranked 12th overall but is ranked 25th in passing.
Pittsburgh’s fifth ranked scoring defense may be just an illusion after getting torched for 39 points in last week’s loss to New England and giving up twenty or more points in its last four games. Ben Roethlisberger may be back but the Steelers’ offense is still only ranked 22nd in passing and 24th overall.
The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Steelers and 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. The underdog in this series is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Stick with that Raider magic to at least cover in this one.
Houston @ New York (-7) Over/Under: 45 ½
Houston’s defense remains the reason that this team cannot win games on a consistent basis. The Texans are ranked last against the pass and 31st in points allowed; giving up an average of 28.6 points per game. Their offense is only averaging 24.1 points per game, hence the reason they are 4-5.
New York’s defense is not nearly as dominant as it was last season and its running game has fallen off a bit, but with QB Mark Sanchez starting to move the ball better through the air, the Jets are actually a better balanced team this year.
The Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the AFC and 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. The Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the AFC and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. It is that time of the year when Houston usually goes in the tank so stick with the Jets.
Indianapolis @ New England (-3) Over/Under: 50 ½
Indianapolis is hoping to have WR Austin Collie back for this game after missing last week with a concussion. Peyton Manning only managed to throw for 185 yards last week against Cincinnati, which was his lowest total since Week 13 of the 2008 season.
New England piled up 453 yards of total offense against a Pittsburgh defense that was ranked fourth overall at the time. Patriot QB Tom Brady is ranked 11th in passing yards this season but he is completing 64.5 percent of his passes and has thrown 17 touchdowns and just four interceptions.
The Colts are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against New England and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. The underdog in this series is 11-2-3 in the last 16 games between these two teams. Stick with the trends and take Indianapolis and the three points.
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