Arkansas vs Mississippi State | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 20, 2010

vs.

#13 Arkansas @ #21 Mississippi State – 7:00 PM ET on ESPN

This is the best game by far on the SEC schedule this week as both these teams are looking to move up in the rankings before the bowl selections are made. Arkansas (8-2) comes in with a four game winning streak, while Mississippi State (7-3) saw its six game winning streak end last week in a 30-10 loss to Alabama. This game should come down to the wire so take the Bulldogs at home getting points.

Prediction: Mississippi State +3 – Bet Now

Odds: Arkansas: -3 – Mississippi State: +3 – Over/Under: 53

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Team records:

• Arkansas: 8-2 SU, 7-2 ATS
• Mississippi State: 7-3 SU, 5-4 ATS

Arkansas Razorbacks most recently:

• When playing in November are 7-3
• When playing on grass are 7-3
• After outgaining opponent are 7-3
• When playing within the conference are 6-4

Mississippi State Bulldogs most recently:

• When playing in November are 3-7
• When playing on grass are 7-3
• After being outgained are 7-3
• When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas’s last 5 games
• Arkansas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Mississippi State
• Arkansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas’s last 5 games on the road
• Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
• Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games when playing Arkansas

Next up:

• Arkansas home to LSU, Saturday, November 27
• Mississippi State at Mississippi, Saturday, November 27

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