Illinois vs Penn State | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 9, 2010

vs.

Illinois @ Penn State – 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2

Somehow the Illini gave the Buckeyes all they could handle last week, making an upset of Penn State on the road possible, although still unlikely. Illinois held Ohio State to less than 300 total yards, including under 100 through the air for star QB Terrelle Pryor. Penn State frosh QB Robert Bolden has similar athleticism but less overall talent so it will be interesting to see how he does if the Illini can muster the same defensive effort. Penn State was outplayed against Iowa early on last week and couldn’t recover. This is a much easier test that they should win.

Prediction: : Illinois 21 – Penn State 31 – Bet Now

Odds: Illinois: +7.5 – Penn State : -7.5 Over/Under: 42

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Team records:

  • Illinois: 2-2 SU, 2-1 ATS
  • Penn State: 3-2 SU, 1-3 ATS

Illinois most recently:

  • When playing in October are 3-7
  • When playing on grass are 1-9
  • After being outgained are 4-6
  • When playing within the conference are 2-8

Penn State most recently:

  • When playing in October are 9-1
  • When playing on grass are 7-3
  • After being outgained are 7-3
  • When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few betting trends to consider:

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois’s last 5 games when playing Penn State
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Illinois’s last 9 games on the road
  • Illinois is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
  • Illinois is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Penn State
  • Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
  • Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Illinois
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State’s last 5 games when playing Illinois

Next up:

  • Illinois at Michigan State, Saturday, October 16
  • Penn State at Minnesota, Saturday, October 23

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