Iowa vs Northwestern | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 13, 2010

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#13 Iowa @ Northwestern – 12:00 PM ET on ESPN

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Best game in the conference this week right here. Iowa is a very formidable opponent but the Wildcats will not be intimidated, especially after beating the Hawkeyes on the road last year. In fact, they have won 4 of the last 5 going 4-1 ATS as well. Last year NW was able to knock QB Ricky Stanzi out of the game and take advantage of a weak backup. This year the macthup between Stanzi and NW QB Dan Persa might actually favour the Wildcats. Persa relieved Kafka last year and made some big plays, especially with his legs to secure the win. He will need to again given Iowa’s D and his escapability gives the Wildcats more than a chance to pull another upset of Iowa.

Prediction: Iowa 33 – Northwestern 31 – Bet Now

Odds: Iowa: -10 – Northwestern: +10 – Over/Under: 50

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Team records:

• Iowa: 7-2 SU, 5-3 ATS
• Northwestern: 6-3 SU, 1-7 ATS

Iowa Hawkeyes most recently:

• When playing in November are 6-4
• When playing on grass are 7-3
• After outgaining opponent are 7-3
• When playing within the conference are 7-3

Northwestern Wildcats most recently:

• When playing in November are 7-3
• When playing on grass are 5-5
• After being outgained are 8-2
• When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa’s last 5 games when playing Northwestern
• Iowa is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
• Iowa is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
• Iowa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern’s last 5 games when playing Iowa
• Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa
• Northwestern is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
• Northwestern is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

Next up:

• Iowa home to Ohio State, Saturday, November 20
• Northwestern home to Illinois, Saturday, November 20