NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 30, 2010
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#5 Michigan State @ #18 Iowa – 3:30 PM ET on ABC
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No doubt what the game of the week is this week. Michigan State roared back against Northwestern last week while Iowa suffered disappointment at home against Wisconsin. This game is a true test for handicappers. Every technical angle favours Iowa but Michigan State is perfect this year because they just keep finding ways to win. I think those winning ways will continue but admit it is more feeling than anything else. As a result I am going to pass on this one unless the line moves up to 7. The conference race will be very interesting if Iowa wins with four teams likely with a single loss after this week.
Prediction: Michigan State 27 – Iowa 24 – Bet Now
Odds: Michigan State: +6.5 – Iowa: -6.5 – Over/Under: 50.5
Team records:
- Michigan State: 8-0 SU, 5-2 ATS
- Iowa: 5-2 SU, 4-2 ATS
Michigan State Spartans most recently:
- When playing in October are 8-2
- When playing on grass are 8-2
- After outgaining opponent are 8-2
- When playing within the conference are 7-3
Iowa Hawkeyes most recently:
- When playing in October are 9-1
- When playing on grass are 7-3
- After outgaining opponent are 7-3
- When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few betting trends to consider:
- Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Michigan State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Michigan State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Iowa
- Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
- Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan State
- Iowa is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
- Iowa is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
- Iowa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Next up:
- Michigan State home to Minnesota, Saturday, November 6
- Iowa at Indiana, Saturday, November 6
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