Notre Dame vs USC | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 27, 2010

vs.

Notre Dame (5-5) at USC (7-4), 8 p.m., ABC

USC QB Matt Barkley will likely be watching from the sideline as his Trojans try to make it nine wins in a row over the Fighting Irish.

USC backup QB Mitch Mustain didn’t look good in relief last time out either, completing 8 of 17 passes for 60 yards.

Looking like they were well on their way to a 10-win season, USC was hammered by Oregon State a week ago and are appearing to finish more like 8-5 as they prepare to host a resurgent Notre Dame team that is coming off back-to-back wins over No. 14 Utah, followed by a dominating performance over Army last weekend, with a combined 55-6 over that span.

The Golden Domers are already bowl-eligible, but if they beat the Trojans and get to 7-5, they could upgrade their bowl options, while USC, of course, can’t play in a bowl game. It’s only motivations are pride and retaining the Jeweled Shillelagh.

Is the motivation factor enough?

Prediction: Notre Dame – Bet Now

Odds: Notre Dame: +3.5 – USC: -3.5 Over/Under: 50

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Team records:

  • Notre Dame: 5-5 SU, 4-4-2 ATS
  • Southern Cal: 7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS

USC Trojans most recently:

  • When playing in November are 8-2
  • When playing on grass are 6-4
  • After being outgained are 6-4
  • When playing outside the conference are 10-0

A few betting trends to consider:

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Notre Dame’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Cal
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Notre Dame’s last 10 games when playing Southern Cal
  • Notre Dame is 5-9-1 SU in its last 15 games ,
  • Notre Dame is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Southern Cal
  • Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
  • Southern Cal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Notre Dame
  • Southern Cal is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Cal’s last 5 games at home

Next up:

  • Southern Cal at UCLA, Saturday, December 4

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