NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, December 4, 2010
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USC (7-5, 4-4) at UCLA (4-7, 2-6), 10:30 p.m., FSN
If Lane Kiffin thinks he’s had a long year, losing to cross town rival the UCLA Bruins will make the offseason even longer.
Fans will say goodbye to the PAC-10 conference after 33 years when the two teams close out the season, making way for the new PAC-12 in 2011.
Ironically, USC and UCLA also played the final game in the history of the Pac-8 back on November 25, 1977, the Friday after Thanksgiving.
A win for the Bruins would go along way for Rick Neuheisel who has also had a tough season at the helm.
Since the USC defense has had its share of narrow escapes –fading away late in game — and considering the Bruins decent rushing attack, I’m calling this the upset pick of the week.
End your PAC-10 college football-betting season by taking the Bruins and the points this one.
Prediction: UCLA – Bet Now
Odds: USC: -6.5 – UCLA: +6.5 – Over/Under: 54
Team records:
- Southern Cal: 7-5 SU, 4-8 ATS
- UCLA: 4-7 SU, 4-7 ATS
USC Trojans most recently:
- When playing in December are 6-4
- When playing on grass are 5-5
- After being outgained are 6-4
- When playing within the conference are 5-5
UCLA Bruins most recently:
- When playing in December are 3-7
- When playing on grass are 6-4
- After being outgained are 5-5
- When playing within the conference are 3-7
A few betting trends to consider:
- Southern Cal is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing UCLA
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Cal’s last 6 games when playing UCLA
- Southern Cal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UCLA
- Southern Cal is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA’s last 6 games when playing Southern Cal
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of UCLA’s last 15 games at home
- UCLA is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
- UCLA is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
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