NFL Free Pick – Sunday, December 19, 2010
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Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
Sunday, December 19, 2010 at 1:00 PM EST on CBS
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The Bills are in a position to play the role of spoiler in this game as a win would pretty much end the Dolphins’ chances to make the playoffs. They are just 3-10 overall this season, but 3-2 in their last five games. Lee Evans, Buffalo’s second leading wide receiver, is done for the year after injuring his ankle in last week’s 13-6 win over Cleveland.
The Dolphins’ 10-6 win over New York last week put them over .500 for the year at 7-6. More importantly, the victory put them in position to catch the slumping Jets for the final wildcard spot in the playoffs. They finish the season at home against Detroit and on the road against New England.
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last five games against the Dolphins. Miami is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games against the AFC East. The favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight as well. Miami wins and covers to keep things interesting with New York.
The odds makers have the Miami Dolphins as a -5.5 point favorite with an over/under of 40.5.
The Pick: Miami -5 ½
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends:
- Buffalo is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 7 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games on the road
- Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Miami Dolphins Betting Trends:
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games at home
- Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
- Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
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