Jaguars vs Jets | Prediction & Odds – NFL Pick

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NFL Betting Previews- Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets
Sunday, September 18, 2011 at 1:00 PM EST on CBS

Point spread: New York -9.5
Over/Under: 38.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars head due north this week to MetLife stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey to take on the New York Jets in a Sunday afternoon clash of two 1-0 teams. Game time is set for 1 p.m. and it will be broadcast regionally on CBS.

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It was not all that pretty, but Jacksonville was able to grind out a 16-14 victory over Tennessee as a 1.5-point home favorite this past Sunday. The total stayed ‘under’ the 37-point line. Despite dominating the Titans on paper, the Jaguars needed a Dwight Lowery interception with less than 30 second to play, to finally seal the win.

Luke McCown was promoted to the starting role as quarterback after head coach Jack Del Rio decided to release his previous starter David Garrard less than a week before the season started. This controversial call worked in Week 1 as McCown managed the game well with 175 yards passing and a 70.1 percent completion rate, but this week’s game will be the real test against a much better defense.

New York is lucky to be coming into this game with a win over Dallas in its opener, after trailing by 14 points in the fourth quarter. Capitalizing on a couple of Texas-sized mistakes down the stretch, the Jets eked out a 27-24 victory as a 4.5-point home favorite. The total went well ‘over’ the 40.5-point line.

Mark Sanchez threw for 335 yards and two touchdowns, but completed less than 60 percent of his passes and turned the ball over twice. The Jets vaunted rushing attack was held to just 45 yards and their normally stout defense was burned for close to 400 yards of total offense. This was hardly the performance that head coach Rex Ryan envisioned for a team he has already declared will win this year’s Super Bowl.

Jacksonville is 5-14 straight-up in its last 19 games on the road and the total has gone ‘over’ in seven of its last nine road games. New York is 4-1 SU in its last five games at home, but just 2-4 against the spread in its last six there. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of its last seven games overall.

Head-to-head, the Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 4-1 ATS in the last five contests in New Jersey. The last time they played one another was in 2009 with Jacksonville coming away with a 24-22 win as a seven-point road underdog. This time around, things swing back in the Jets favor as they win and cover with a much better all-around team performance.

The odds makers have the New York Jets as a -9.5 point favorite with an over/under of 38.5.

The Pick: New York 23 – Jacksonville 10

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Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends:

• Jacksonville is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,
• Jacksonville is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville’s last 9 games on the road
• Jacksonville is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road

New York Jets Betting Trends:

• NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Jets last 7 games
• NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
• NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home