NFL Top 3 Pointspread Plays-Week 15
Last week eight home teams won their game straight-up, and 10 came out on top against the spread. Eight road teams won SU and six road teams won ATS.
A total of five dogs managed to win their games ATS with three teams winning their game SU. Detroit pulled off the biggest upset of the week with a 7-3 win over Green Bay as a seven-point home underdog.
Turning to Week 15 there is only one home team getting points and the line is currently OFF for three games. The largest spread has San Francisco getting nine points on the road against San Diego and one of the smallest spreads has Baltimore as a one-point home favorite against New Orleans.
Here is a look at my top three ‘pointspread’ plays for the NFL’s Week 15. All lines quoted are courtesy of BetUs.com.
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Kansas City (-1) @ St. Louis
The Chiefs are in desperate need of a win after getting shutout 31-0 last week by San Diego. The loss dropped them to 8-5 on the year and cut their lead in the AFC West over the Chargers to just one game. The good news for Kansas City is that QB Matt Cassell, who recently underwent an appendectomy, has not been ruled out for this game.
The Rams are currently tied with Seattle atop the NFC West at 6-7 after a 31-13 loss to New Orleans last Sunday. They could actually lose this game and still have a good chance to win the division since they play both San Francisco and the Seahawks in their final two games.
Kansas City is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games in December and 2-5 ATS in its last seven overall. St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games and 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games overall. The Rams are a much better team at home and should get the outright win especially if Cassel is not ready to go. The Pick: St. Louis +1
Buffalo @ Miami (5 ½)
The Bills are in a position to play the role of spoiler in this game as a win would pretty much end the Dolphins’ chances to make the playoffs. They are just 3-10 overall this season, but 3-2 in their last five games. Lee Evans, Buffalo’s second leading wide receiver, is done for the year after injuring his ankle in last week’s 13-6 win over Cleveland.
The Dolphins’ 10-6 win over New York last week put them over .500 for the year at 7-6. More importantly, the victory put them in position to catch the slumping Jets for the final wildcard spot in the playoffs. They finish the season at home against Detroit and on the road against New England.
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last five games against the Dolphins. Miami is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games against the AFC East. The favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight as well. Miami wins and covers to keep things interesting with New York. The Pick: Miami -5 ½
Washington @ Dallas (-6)
The Redskins are playing for pride in this game after last week’s one-point 17-16 loss to Tampa Bay, on a botched extra-point that would have sent the game into overtime, ended any slim playoff hopes. The interesting thing to watch for in this game will be if head coach Mike Shanahan decides to pull QB Donovan McNabb if the offense gets off to another slow start.
The Cowboys are also playing out the string, but the motivation to win is much higher since everyone’s job from interim head coach Jason Garrett right down to the locker room attendant is on the line in the eyes of team owner Jerry Jones.
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against the Cowboys and 4-1 ATS in the last five games played in Dallas. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Cowboys get the outright win in this one, but the Redskins will keep the game close enough to cover with the six points. The Pick: Washington +6
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