NFL Top Three ‘Over/Under’ Plays- Week 5
After some wild swings with the ‘total line’ in the first three weeks of the NFL regular season, the odds makers were able to balance things out in Week 4 with nine games going ‘over’ the total and seven games staying ‘under’.
SportsBook Lists’ early success stayed on track with a 2-1 record last week that raised our year-to-date record to 8-4 on our ‘top plays’ of the week. The followings are our best bets for Week 5 on the ‘total line’ as provided by BetOnline.com.
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Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars Over/Under: 37
The youth movement of rookies Andy Dalton at quarterback and A.J. Green at wide receiver has helped Cincinnati to a surprising 2-2 start, but the offense is still ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with an average of just 20 points a game.
The Jaguars’ decision to dump its starting quarterback less than a week before the start of the regular season has paid huge dividends with an offense that is ranked dead-last in the league in scoring with a dismal 9.8 points per game.
The total has stayed ‘under’ in six of the Bengals last eight games when they are three-points or less underdogs and in the Jaguars last four games overall.
The Pick: UNDER
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Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants Over/Under: 41.5
Losing Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback has made a huge impact on Seattle’s offensive production so far as it are averaging just 14.5 point a game, but this team remains a good play on the ‘over’ line with a defense that is giving up over 24 points a game.
New York has strung together three straight wins behind a very opportunistic offense that has been able to generate an average of 25.5 points a game, including a combined 26 points in the fourth quarter of its last two games.
The total has gone ‘over’ in 11 of the Seahawks last 13 games against the NFC and in 12 of their last 15 games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in 16 of the Giants last 23 games against the NFC and in four of their last six home games. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the last seven games in this matchup.
The Pick: OVER
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Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills Over/Under: 49.5
The good news for the 1-3 Eagles is their offense is ranked 10th in the league in scoring with an average of 25.2 points a game. The bad news is that their defense only knows how to play three quarters after blowing a late lead in their last three games. Philadelphia has given up a total of 36 points in the fourth quarter of those games.
Buffalo has opened the season a surprising 3-1 behind an offense that has thrived on second-half come backs. It is ranked fourth in the league in scoring with an average 33.2 points a game. This has helped compensate for a defense that is giving up an average of 24 points a game.
The total has gone ‘over’ in 10 of the Eagles last 11 road games overall and in the last five as road favorites. The total has gone ‘over’ in the Bills last five games overall and in six of their last seven games following an ATS loss.
The Pick: OVER
Need more help making your picks winners? Check out our top handicappers.
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