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Packers vs. Falcons | Divisional Playoffs Predictions

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NFL Free Pick – Saturday, January 15, 2010

vs.

Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons
Saturday, January 15, 2011 at 8:00 pm ET on FOX

Pointspread: Falcons -2
Over/Under: 45 ½

The Packers held off a late Philadelphia rally to hold onto a 21-16 victory in last week’s Wildcard Round as a one-point road underdog. The total stayed well ‘under’ the 46 ½ point line. Another major plus from that game was a running game led by rookie RB James Starks’ 123 yards rushing. QB Aaron Rodgers threw for a very pedestrian 180 yards but he did have three touchdown passes in the win.

The Falcons will look to RB Michael Turner to lead their ground game in this matchup. In Atlanta’s 20-17 win over Green Bay earlier this season, Turner ran for 110 yards on 23 carries and scored a touchdown. He finished the season with 1,371 rushing yards and a 4.1 yards per carry average to lead a Falcons’ offense that was ranked 12th in the league in rushing yards per game.

Check out the latest NFL Football Odds here.

Green Bay is 3-2 ATS in its last five road games and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall. Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last six games at home and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the last six meetings. This time around the Packers come out on the winning end of another three-point game.

The odds makers have the Atlanta Falcons as a -2 point favorite with an over/under of 45.5.

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Team records:

  • Green Bay: 10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS
  • Atlanta: 13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS

Green Bay Packers betting trends:

  • When playing in January are 6-4
  • When playing on turf are 4-6
  • After being outgained are 6-4
  • When playing outside the division are 6-4

Atlanta Flacons betting trends:

  • When playing in January are 4-6
  • When playing on turf are 9-1
  • After outgaining opponent are 8-2
  • When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few betting trends to consider:

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay’s last 9 games on the road
  • Green Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 7 games when playing Atlanta
  • Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
  • Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
  • Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing Green Ba

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